Friday, December 30, 2011

MARKET ENDED 30.12.2011 FRIDAY


 WERE TODAY'S LAST SESSION OF YEAR 2011DAY GAINERS



SENSEX            15454.92            -89.01
NIFTY               4624.30            -21.95
USD/INR           0053.30             +00.29
UPDATEDTIME 09.28 PM  30 DECEMBER 2011

As the last closing-bell of 2011 was banged on the stock market, its barometer Sensex took a final knock of 89 points on Friday and ended the year with a total tally of over 5,000 points or a loss of about 25 per cent, the second-worst annual performance in its history.

The total investor wealth, measured in terms of value of all listed stocks in the country, also fell by about Rs 19,46,000 crore during 2011, thus erasing all the gains registered in the previous year 2010.

As has been the case for most part 2011, Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) was the biggest contributor in today's fall, which saw the stock market benchmark Sensex closing at 15454.92 points for the year.

Incidentally, Reliance Industries today itself lost its position of the country's most valued company to Tata group's software company TCS, thus adding to the concerns that the polyster-to-energy-to-retail conglomerate was fast losing its charm among the stock investors.


A continuing downslide in the banking stocks, largely on concerns about rising bad debts due to a slowdown in economic growth, and apprehensions that the corporate profitability being hit due to increased interest rates and rising input costs also added to the market woes.

As a result, the Sensex fell by a total 5,054.17 points or 24.64 per cent in the entire 2011. In comparison, the index had gained 3,044 points (17 per cent) in the previous year 2010 and by even a wider margin of 7,817 points (81 per cent) in 2009.

The only bigger loss was witnessed during the year 2008, when the Sensex had dropped 52.4 per cent or more than 10,600 points amid a major global financial crisis.

The problems in global economy was seen as a major reason for the downslide in 2011 also, but concerns about domestic economic growth, a perceived notion of policy paralysis and slowdown in corporate sector added to the concerns towards the year-end.

While December has historically been a strong month with some year-end rallies being witnessed traditionally, the situation has been different this time around. The markets today fell for the fourth consecutive day, while the indices have plunged for a majority of trading sessions this month.

As a result, the stock market has ended 2011 with a total investor wealth of Rs 53,48,644.8 crore, the lowest year-end level since 2008.

In the US dollar terms, the Indian stock market's size barely managed to retain the trillion-dollar tag at the end of the year, after briefly moving out of this elite league earlier this month. At the end of today's trade, the market size was ... trillion dollars, just .. per cent away from the mark.
The Sensex closed at 15454.92, down 89.01 points or 0.57 per cent. The 30-share index touched intraday low of 15406.93 and high of 15694.05.

The National Stock Exchange's Nifty ended at 4624.30, down 21.95 points or 0.47 per cent. The broader index touched a high of 4690.45 and low of 4608.90 in trade today.

BSE Midcap Index was up 0.31 per cent and BSE Smallcap Index moved 0.09 per cent higher.

Amongst the sectoral indices, BSE Oil&gas Index was down 1.47 per cent, BSE Realty Index declined 1.10 per cent, BSE Bankex slipped 0.73 per cent and BSE Metal Index was 0.68 per cent lower. BSE Healthcare Index was up 0.45 per cent and BSE IT Index edged 0.37 per cent higher.

Reliance Industries (-2.81%), Jindal Steel (-2.07%), DLF (-2.01%), Tata Steel (-2%) and Tata Power (-1.52%) were the major Sensex losers.

Recently, JM Financial downgraded Reliance Industries to 'Hold' from 'Buy'. The company's target price has been slashed to Rs 850 from an earlier one of Rs 1,015, for a 12-month period citing a reduction in refining margins and lower than expected exploration & production volumes from KG D6 Basin. The stock slipped below Rs 700 mark for the first time since April 2007.

Infosys Technologies (0.78%), Coal India (0.72%), BHEL (0.67%), Bharti Airtel (0.29%) and ITC (0.17%) were amongst the major gainers.

Market breadth was negative on the BSE with 1327 gainers against 1451 losers.
Regards
RAKESH MAKIN
+91, 9041667797(DIRECT), 9915684997
OFF 0172-4657997
PANCHKULA (Haryana).
Email:makin_97@yahoo.com
Group mail id: makin97NSEtips@yahoogroups.co.in           
     

Thursday, December 29, 2011

MARKET ENDED 29.12.2011 THURSDAY



 WERE TODAYS NIFTY GAINERS






SENSEX            15543.93           -183.92
NIFTY               4646.25            -59.55
USD/INR           0053.05             +00.17
UPDATEDTIME 09.28 PM  29 DECEMBER 2011

The National Stock Exchange's Nifty ended December series below important support levels after witnessing sharp selling pressure in the last hour of trade.

According to analysts, the short to medium term trend remains bearish due to unfavourable economic situation globally and back home. This is likely to put pressure on the benchmarks

"There is nothing which has changed on the horizon. Things are as hazy as they have been for last at 3-4 months. Initial part of 2012, I do not think there would be any difference. At least on the domestic side till the time you have these assembly elections out of the way. Europe obviously is a simmering problem. It is very difficult to take a call as to how that event will unfold.

If you see, the dollar index has gone up which definitely puts the pressure on rupee also. Without RBI intervention, rupee looks like in a little bit of a problem till the time you have the global dollar positive environment which continues. One has to wait through all these things. Second half of CY12 as of now should be a bit healthier and promising.

Benchmarks had opened on weak note extending overnight losses. After moving in a narrow range for most of the day the benchmarks gave in to selling pressure towards the close.

The Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensex closed at 15543.93, down 183.92 points or 1.17 per cent. The 30-share index touched intraday low of 15515.44 and high of 15724.60.

The Nifty ended at 4646.25, down 59.55 points or 1.27 per cent. The broader index touched a high of 4701.80 and low of 4639.05 in trade today.


According to technical analysts, Nifty has failed to sustain above 200-week moving average and is likely to move to lower levels.

"The important point this month has been that we have now conclusively closed below the 4770 mark, which was the 200-week moving average. Now we are set up basically to take out 4530, which was a strong support. Once that gets taken out, easily a thumb rule type target could be closer to 4200-4250.

Why that will happen, what events will trigger it, the time will tell. Clearly the market after several attempts of getting past this 4770-4800 zone has failed and should move to lower levels.

BSE Midcap Index was down 0.35 per cent and BSE Smallcap Index moved 0.74 per cent lower.

Amongst the sectoral indices, BSE Oil&gas Index was down 2.62 per cent, BSE Capital Goods Index slipped 2.39 per cent, BSE Realty Index declined 1.66 per cent and BSE Power Index slipped 1.43 per cent. BSE Metal Index was up 0.23 per cent and BSE Healthcare Index edged 0.19 per cent higher.

Reliance Communications (-5.42%), Tata Power (-4.57%), Reliance Infrastructure (-4.45%), BHEL (-4.01%) and Reliance Industries (-4%) were major Nifty losers.

Reliance Industries is in "advanced talks" with American defence giant Raytheon to create a joint venture that will pursue opportunities in homeland security in India and abroad.

Jindal Steel (2.18%), SAIL (1.63%), Grasim Industries (1.61%), Reliance Power (1.11%) and Hindustan Unilever (1.01%) were amongst the gainers pack.

Shares of Bharatiya Global Infomedia, Tijaria Polypipes, Taksheel Solutions, RDB Rasayans, Onelife Capital Advisors, Brooks Laboratories and PG Electroplast were witnessing selling pressure after the Securities and Exchange Board of India banned their promoters, accusing them of misusing IPO proceeds, performing shoddy due-diligence process, and aiding promoters to prop up prices on listing day.

Meanwhile, the food articles inflation for the week ended December 17 has slipped to 0.42 per cent vs 1.81 per cent a week ago. Primary articles inflation has dipped to 2.7 per cent vs 3.78 per cent. Fuel group inflation has eased a little to 14.37 per cent as compared to 15.24 per cent a week ago.
Regards
RAKESH MAKIN
+91, 9041667797(DIRECT), 9915684997
OFF 0172-4657997
PANCHKULA (Haryana).
Email:makin_97@yahoo.com
Group mail id: makin97NSEtips@yahoogroups.co.in

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

MARKET ENDED 28.12.2011 WEDNESDAY




 WERE TODAY'S INDEX GAINERS

SENSEX            15727.85           -146.10
NIFTY               4705.80            -44.70
USD/INR           0053.42             +00.30
UPDATEDTIME 09.28 PM  28 DECEMBER 2011

The Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensex ended choppy session in the negative territory ahead of December series expiry. Gains in power and capital goods stocks were offset by losses in metals, banks and oil&gas space.

According to analysts, the trend is bearish and the downtrend would resume after the recent pull-back rally.

At higher levels, the bulls are finding it increasingly difficult and now we are looking for reasons to go down, whether it is not giving constitutional status to the Lokpal or it is January blues which are likely to set in soon but there is a distinct bias towards the downside. Broadly we are doing this range of 4700 to 4800. The moment we start coming below 4700, you would have triggered shorts although we continue to carry out Bank Nifty shorts. You basically had 5 to 6-day pullback on the upside and now it seems that the next down leg is starting.

However, the New Year 2012 looks promising than 2011 the view that the market may be somewhere closer to making a bottom.

It must improve because we have had a pretty severe beating in 2011. Valuations have corrected and there is no reason to believe that things cannot turn around in 2012. So it feels nice to start the year with a little optimistic note and take whatever comes in the way, who knows how 2012 will shape up, but my sense is that we are loaded in favour of a little positive for 2012 than 2011.

One thing which makes me little more bullish is that there is lot of pessimism around and there are a lot of rumours. When things come to a stage where rumours run the market, then we are somewhere closer to making a bottom and at least stabilise the market and go forward from here.

The Sensex closed at 15727.85, down 146.10 points or 0.92 per cent. The 30-share index touched intraday low of 15666.46 and high of 15887.80.

The National Stock Exchange's Nifty ended at 4705.80, down 44.70 points or 0.94 per cent. The broader index touched a high of 4756.20 and low of 4685.65 in trade today.


BSE Midcap Index was down 1.06 per cent and BSE Smallcap Index moved 1.12 per cent lower.

Amongst the sectoral indices, BSE Metal Index was down 2.05 per cent, BSE Bankex fell 1.98 per cent and BSE Oil&gas Index slipped 1.63 per cent.
BSE Power Index was up 0.78 per cent and BSE Capital Goods Index moved 0.32 per cent higher.

Banking stocks came under pressure on reports that the Reserve Bank of India ( RBI) has ordered banks to set aside more capital for their investments in financial entities, in an attempt to strengthen the ring fence around banks.

The Reserve Bank of India said the banks from now on shall set aside 25% more capital after the central bank raised the risk weight for buying or holding of equity in financial entities.

Jindal Steel (-7.07%), ICICI Bank (-3.88%), Hindalco Industries (-2.51%), Mahindra & Mahindra (-2.39%) and Wipro (-2.28%) were major Sensex losers.

NTPC (2.68%), BHEL (2.26%), Tata Power (1.61%), Cipla (1.20%) and DLF (0.71%) were the major gainers.

Market breadth was negative on the BSE with 1055 gainers against 1667 losers.
 
Regards
RAKESH MAKIN
+91, 9041667797(DIRECT), 9915684997
OFF 0172-4657997
PANCHKULA (Haryana).
Email:makin_97@yahoo.com
Group mail id: makin97NSEtips@yahoogroups.co.in