Thursday, June 7, 2012

MARKET ENDED 07.06.2012 THURSDAY




 WERE TODAY'S SENSEX GAINERS


     SENSEX            16649.05                 +195.75
     NIFTY               5049.65                  +52.55
     USD/INR            0055.17                  -00.19
     NASDAQ            2845.36                  +00.64
UPDATEDTIME 09.28 PM  07 JUNE  2012

The Sensex rose for a fourth consecutive session on Thursday to its highest close since May 7, riding a global rally on continued expectations that monetary stimulus at home and abroad would spark a recovery in risk assets.

Banks such as ICICI Bank extended a rally on hopes the Reserve Bank of India would cut interest rates on June 18, at a time when global investors are betting the Federal Reserve will ease monetary conditions for the US economy.

In a surprise move, China cut benchmark interest rates by 25 basis points to shore up slackening economic growth. The action came after the close of Indian stock markets.

Auto makers, which stand to benefit from lower domestic interest rates, gained on Thursday, getting an additional boost from optimism that the government will decide not to raise excise duties on diesel vehicle sales.

Still, India is seen faces steep fiscal and economic challenges, and some analysts doubt how much longer domestic equities can rally after posting their longest winning streak since early February.

The stance from foreign investors could be key. Foreign institutional investors net bought Rs 169 crore ($30.51 million) in equities on Wednesday, turning buyers for the first time in five sessions, but remain net sellers of Rs 1,808 crore so far in June, indicating they have sold into the rally.

"The rally is primarily driven from global market rally and improved sentiment, oil price coming down, and possibility of rate reduction by RBI has helped.

"But in the given time of global uncertainty, it is too early to say whether the rally can sustain."

Markets had already discounted a reduction in interest rates, and are vulnerable for falls, George added.

The 30-share BSE benchmark rose 1.2 per cent to end at 16,649.05 points.
The broader 50-share NSE index rose 1.05 per cent, to close at 5,049.65 points.

The slump in oil prices, the surprisingly weak growth seen in the first three months of the year, and more dovish comments from RBI Deputy Governor Subir Gokarn sparked hopes of interest rate cuts.

Banking shares, as measured by the NSE banking index, rose 2.1 per cent, marking a fourth consecutive winning session for a combined advance of 7.4 per cent, compared with a 4.3 per cent gain in the broader NSE index.

Axis Bank, ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank each ended up more than 3 per cent.

Shares in auto companies also rose on hopes the government will decide against implementing higher excise duties on diesel vehicle sales after top executives lobbied hard against the proposal.

India had mooted the plans after the government backed off initial plans to raise the price of diesel.

Maruti Suzuki India rose 3.2 per cent, while Mahindra and Mahindra ended 2.1 per cent higher.

Reliance Industries rose 0.75 per cent, paring earlier gains of as much as 2.2 per cent, as investors had hoped for more fireworks, though Chairman Mukesh Ambani said Reliance aims to double its operating profit in the next 4-5 years.

However, software services exporters fell after UBS predicted global tech spending from banks, financial services and insurance firms will fall 6 per cent in 2012, though adding Infosys would offer "better downside protection".

Infosys shares rose 1.6 per cent,
but Tata Consultancy Services fell 0.9 per cent, while Wipro declined 2.4 per cent. Among sectoral indices, the BSE Realty Index was up 1.7 percent, the BSE Bankex gained 1.71 percent, the BSE Metal Index advanced 1.2 percent and the BSE Auto Index moved 1.2 percent higher.

Sterlite Industries (4.06 percent), Hero MotoCorp (2.4 percent), Infosys Technologies (1.5 percent), DLF (2.6 percent), HDFC Bank (2.7 percent) and Reliance Industries (0.5 percent) are among the top Sensex gainers.

Wipro (1.62 percent), TCS (1.1 percent), GAIL (1.3 percent) and Hindalco Industries (0.5 percent) are among the LOSERS.

Shares in auto companies gained on hopes that the government will decide against implementing an excise duty on diesel vehicle sales. The tax proposal is being considered after the government backed off from initial plans to raise the price of diesel.

Tata Motors shares increased 1.1 percent, Maruti Suzuki gained 2.8 percent and Mahindra & Mahindra was up 1 percent, extending the rally this week.

The rupee fell to 55.14 against the dollar after hitting a two-week high of 54.19 earlier today on the back of gains in the stock markets.
Brent crude rose above $100 per barrel on concerns of a drop in US stockpiles and on hopes of stimulus by global banks.

Foreign institutional investors bought equities worth Rs 269.21 crore on Wednesday, according to provisional data.

European stocks climbed higher as investors continue to expect European policymakers to unveil measures to prop up the continent's ailing economy, although gains were cautious after the previous session's sharp rally.
Regards
RAKESH MAKIN
+91, 9041667797(DIRECT), 9915684997
OFF 0172-4657997
PANCHKULA (Haryana).
Email:makin_97@yahoo.com
Group mail id: makin97NSEtips@yahoogroups.co.in

Wednesday, June 6, 2012

MARKET ENDED 06.06.2012 WEDNESDAY



 WERE TODAY'S GAINERS 


     SENSEX            16454.30                 +433.66
     NIFTY               4997.10                 +133.80
     USD/INR            0055.65                  +00.10
     NASDAQ            2836.41                  +58.30
UPDATEDTIME 09.28 PM  06 JUNE  2012

The Nifty surged past intermediate resistance levels and closed near the psychological 5,000 mark led by gains in infrastructure, auto and banking stocks on the back of positive domestic cues and global markets.

The market witnessed a broad-based rally on huge volumes and the Nifty registered its biggest percentage gain since January 3, 2012.

The market has been longing for some government action in terms of policy reforms to take the Indian growth story forward. Positive moves by the government such as sops for export-oriented companies, a scheduled high-level meeting of the Prime Minister with key ministers to clear pending infrastructure projects, the appreciating rupee and lower crude prices along with risk-on trade in the global markets boosted market sentiment.

"Reports indicated that the PM is meeting to discuss expediting infrastructure projects that have been delayed due to various reasons. Following this, infrastructure stocks were major gainers. Apart from this, hopes of rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India fuelled a rally in banking and auto stocks.

Market sentiment was further boosted by firm European markets.

The Nifty ended at 4,997.10, up 133.80 points, or 2.75 percent. It touched an intraday high of 5,010.45 and a low of 4,886.15 today.

The Sensex ended at 16,454.30, up 433.66 points, or 2.71 percent. It touched an intraday high of 16,494.50 and a low of 16,100.36 today.

This is a phenomenal rally which has not been seen for a long time. It doesn't seem to be only a short covering rally as buying is seen across sectors. It appears that strong hands are moving in as the indices are available nearly at 12.5x forward looking P/E multiples. We did not expect the Nifty to breach 5,000 today. In the process, it has moved above 13 and 21 DMA so a further upside can be expected in the coming sessions."

Once the 5,007-5,020 level is taken out, the Nifty faces strong resistance at 5,050-5,080. We would be better off once it crosses 5,100 as the index will then cross important technical zones.

Looking at the movement in equities and dollar/rupee, it appears foreign institutional investors are coming in. The rupee's appreciation is going to provide further strength to the market. If the dollar/rupee comes to the 55.10 level, it will bring a lot of investors back into the market.

The government has started taking action and it seems the policy paralysis is coming to an end. This will also be looked positively by the Street," Bose added.

The BSE Midcap Index was up 1.78 percent and the BSE Smallcap Index moved 1.48 percent higher.

On the F&O front, long positions are being added in the market, analysts said.

Nifty futures witnessed a strong recovery session of trade and closed with a robust gain of around 3 percent. A steep rise in future OI suggested addition of long positions in the market.

On the upside, Nifty futures face immediate resistance at 5,020. If they sustains above this level, then short covering towards 5,060-5,080 can be expected. On the downside, 4,920 would act as an immediate support, below which it can test 4,880-4,850 levels. 
Among sectoral indices, the BSE Auto Index was up 3.86 percent, the BSE Capital Goods Index rallied 3.63 percent, the BSE Power Index advanced 3.49 percent, the BSE Bankex gained 3.01 percent and the BSE FMCG Index moved 2.95 percent higher.

Tata Motors (5.41 percent), Hero MotoCorp (5.08 percent), Jindal Steel (4.87 percent), Reliance Infrastructure (4.62 percent) and Ambuja Cements (4.59 percent) were among the top Nifty gainers.

Cipla (0.34 percent), BPCL (0.26 percent) and Dr Reddy's Laboratories (0.21 percent) were the only index losers.

The rupee strengthened against the dollar on the back of gains in Indian stock markets. The partially convertible currency ended at 55.36, up 28 paise against its previous close of 55.64.

Shares of infrastructure-related companies were in action on reports that the Prime Minister is likely to discuss fast tracking of 8,000 km of road and expediting work on setting up 17 new major airports, including one in Navi Mumbai and three other international airports, in a ministerial meeting.

Projects worth around Rs 1.46 lakh crore are pending in power, steel, highways and cement sectors due to various regulatory issues, according to media reports.

Gammon India, Gayatri Projects, GMR Infra, IRB Infra, IVRCL, PBA Infrastructure, Supreme Infrastructure,Unity Infraprojects, etc., rose on hopes of some positive development at the meeting.


Brent crude prices stayed near $100 per barrel on reports of declining US stock piles.

The market breadth was positive on the NSE with 1,169 gainers and 319 losers.
Regards
RAKESH MAKIN
+91, 9041667797(DIRECT), 9915684997
OFF 0172-4657997
PANCHKULA (Haryana).
Email:makin_97@yahoo.com
Group mail id: makin97NSEtips@yahoogroups.co.in

Tuesday, June 5, 2012

MARKET ENDED 05.06.2012 TUESDAY


 WERE TODAY'S GAINERS



     SENSEX            16020.64                +32.24
     NIFTY               4863.30                 +15.15
     USD/INR            0055.65                 +00.10
     NASDAQ            2762.10                 +02.09
UPDATEDTIME 09.28 PM  05 JUNE  2012

The Nifty closed in the positive terrain after shedding most of the intraday gains as traders booked profits near the higher end of the narrow trading range following weakness in the rupee against the dollar. Capital goods, banking and power stocks led the gainers on hopes of an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India.

The Sensex ended at 16,020.64, up 32.24 points, or 0.20 percent. It touched an intraday high of 16,138.29 and a low of 15,979.77.

The Nifty closed at 4,863.30, up 15.15 points, or 0.31 percent. It touched an intraday high of 4,898.95 and a low of 4,847.70.

According to analysts, Indian markets are likely to remain choppy and take cues from global peers until the Greece elections are over.

The major market-moving event in the short term is the Greece election. Until then, risk aversion may prevail in global equities. However, we note that risk-reward ratio is turning favourable for equities.

Current valuations at 12.5-13x are at a discount to the median range of 15x one year forward earnings. Amidst the gloom, there is a silver lining in terms of softening of crude prices," a Kotak Securities report stated.

Kaushik Basu, Chief Economic Advisor to the Ministry of Finance, said the Indian economy will pull back in FY13. He expects GDP to grow at 7.6 percent.

The index will be rangebound between 4,780-4,800 and 4,900-4,950. Shorting around the 4,900 mark could pay off dividends because weekly charts are still on the negative side. A downtrend might resume once this consolidation is over in the next few days.

While we are not aggressively short, the bias is still to sell on the higher side around the 4,900 mark. In case that is breached, 4,950 is the next level. The immediate outlook is that we might do a range of about 150 points for the next 3 to 4 sessions.

The BSE Midcap Index was up 0.33 percent and the BSE Smallcap Index moved 0.21 percent higher.

The BSE Capital Goods Index was up 2 percent, the BSE Bankex moved up 0.82 percent and the BSE Power Index gained 0.80 percent. The BSE Realty Index was down 1.37 percent, the BSE FMCG Index declined 1.09 percent and the BSE Metal Index slipped 0.27 percent.

Larsen & Toubro (2.94 percent), Grasim (2.72 percent), Reliance Infrastructure (2.71 percent), IDFC (2.57 percent) and Cairn India (2.33 percent) were the top Nifty gainers.

Ambuja Cement (3.29 percent), Tata Motors (3.17 percent), Siemens (2.64 percent), Bharti Airtel (2.31 percent) and ITC (2.22 percent) were the top Losers .

Oil prices slid further on demand worries following poor economic data from the eurozone. Brent crude for July delivery was at $98.17 per barrel, down 68 cents, against its previous close.

The rupee remained volatile for the day before closing at 55.64 per dollar, up 2 paise, against its previous close of 55.66.

Foreign institutional investors sold equities worth Rs 637.14 crore on Monday, according to provisional stock exchange data.
Regards
RAKESH MAKIN
+91, 9041667797(DIRECT), 9915684997
OFF 0172-4657997
PANCHKULA (Haryana).
Email:makin_97@yahoo.com
Group mail id: makin97NSEtips@yahoogroups.co.in

Monday, June 4, 2012

MARKET ENDED 04.06.2012 MONDAY



 WERE TODAY'S SENSEX GAINERS 












     SENSEX            15988.40                +23.24
     NIFTY               4848.15                 +06.55
     USD/INR            0055.65                 +00.10
     NASDAQ            2740.54                 -06.94
UPDATEDTIME 09.28 PM  04 JUNE  2012

 The Sensex snapped its losing streak and closed in the positive terrain led by gains in capital goods, realty banks and oil & gas stocks after bouncing back from nearly five-month lows.

Comments from Subir Gokarn, Deputy Governor,Reserve Bank of India, that the central bank has some elbow room to reduce policy rates following moderate core inflation and soft global oil prices seem to have provided support to the markets, dealers said.

"With GDP growing at such a slow rate, the expectation is that there will be monetary easing in the next couple of months and there's hope that interest rates will come off over the second or third quarter of this year and, consequently, there should be some boost to the corporate sector.

So, the outlook in terms of valuations on a broad market is fairly reasonable. From a long-term perspective, it is a good time to begin accumulating stocks, but with a caveat that there will certainly be weakness for a month or so.

The Nifty ended at 4,848.15, up 06.55 points, or 0.31 percent. The 50-share index touched an intraday high of 4,858.30 and a low of 4,770.35.

The Sensex closed at 15988.40, up 23.24 points, or 0.26 percent. The 30-share index touched an intraday high of 16,007.34 and a low of 15,748.98.

The market is likely to remain volatile for the fortnight ahead of Greece election results and the RBI's policy meet. Technically, 4,750 is an important level for the Nifty and if the index holds on it some short covering can be expected, according to analysts.

For the current month, we expect the market to remain volatile ahead of major outcomes such as the Greece elections and the RBI policy meet. In case the market survives at previous lows 4,750/4,730, it will attract hefty short covering in the second half of the month. However, if it breaks 4,730, then 4,600 is possible and it may retest 4,530.

On the higher side 5,150/5,200 will remain crucial level for bears above those bulls will take a grip on the market.

The BSE Midcap Index was down 0.14 percent and the BSE Smallcap Index slipped 0.15 percent.

Among sectoral indices, the BSE Capital Goods Index rallied 2.08 percent, the BSE Realty Index was up 1.35 percent, the BSE Oil & Gas Index moved 1.17 percent higher and the BSE Bankex gained 1.10 percent. 

Larsen & Toubro (3.43 percent), ONGC (3.19 percent),DLF (1.97 percent), Tata Motors (1.89 percent) andReliance Industries (1.31 percent) were among the major Sensex gainers.

GAIL (3.47 percent), Jindal Steel (2.72 percent), Tata Power (2.49 percent), Bharti Airtel (2.31 percent) andSterlite Industries (2.30 percent) were among the decliners.

US private equity firm Warburg Pincus bought a majority holding in financial services firm Future Capital Holdings. Pantaloon, which was earlier controlled by Future Capital, sold a 40 percent stake to Warburg for Rs 162 per share.

The market breadth was negative on the BSE with 1,204 gainers against 1,449 losers.
Regards
RAKESH MAKIN
+91, 9041667797(DIRECT), 9915684997
OFF 0172-4657997
PANCHKULA (Haryana).
Email:makin_97@yahoo.com
Group mail id: makin97NSEtips@yahoogroups.co.in

Friday, June 1, 2012

MARKET ENDED 01.06.2012 FRIDAY



WERE TODAY'S GAINERS


     SENSEX            15965.16               -253.37
     NIFTY               4841.60                 -82.65
     USD/INR            0056.23                 +00.47
     NASDAQ            2766.43                 -60.91
UPDATEDTIME 09.28 PM  01 JUNE  2012

  Stock markets fell for the third day with the Sensex losing 253 points to close below 16,000 after a week due to increased capital outflow on economic growth worries and the deepening euro zone debt crisis.

The 30-share BSE benchmark index, which lost 220 points in the last two trading sessions, plunged by 253.37 points, or 1.56 percent, to 15,965.16, a level last seen on May 23.

The broader 50-share Nifty settled below the 4,900 level by dropping 82.65 points, or 1.68 percent, to 4,841.60.

Beaten by a slump in GDP numbers, the markets' fall on Friday tracked weaker global shares after surveys showed Chinese factory output barely growing and powerful European manufacturing countries falling deeper into malaise. The data came ahead of the key US jobs figures later on Friday.

Foreign funds were net sellers of Indian stocks for the second month in May by pulling out $161 million, after withdrawing $103 million in April.

IT stocks, which get over 50 percent of their revenue from Europe and the US, suffered heavy losses. TCS dropped 1.69 percent to Rs 1,224.75 and Infosys declined by 2.13 percent to Rs 2,387.80.

The heaviest on the index, RIL, plunged 3.16 percent to Rs 683.70, heavy machinery major L&T by 3.22 percent to Rs 1,134.50 and BHEL by 2.48 percent to Rs 206.70.

The capital goods sector suffered heavy losses by 2.99 percent to 8,553.10 followed by the power index by 2.49 percent to 1,768.73.

The auto sector index extended losses for the third straight day by falling 2.17 percent to 8,680.30 on reports of a fall in vehicle sale in May.


Traders expect more volatility in June, with key events scheduled, such as inflation data and a key Reserve Bank of India meeting on June 18 that some analysts say could deliver an interest rate cut.

Globally, Spanish banking woes and new Greek elections will be among the factors that could keep risk assets under pressure, analysts said.

"It's very hard to see a recovery in markets in the near term as problems in Europe are exacerbating. A favorable verdict in Greece elections may change the sentiments though. 

The BSE Midcap Index was down 1.21 percent and the BSE Smallcap Index was down 0.84 percent.

Among sectoral indices, the BSE Oil & Gas Index fell 2.20 percent, the BSE Capital Goods Index was down 1.94 percent, the BSE Power Index declined 1.83 percent and the BSE IT Index was 1.80 percent lower.
The BSE FMCG Index moved 0.55 percent higher.

Asian Paints (5.10 percent), Ranbaxy Laboratories (4.60 percent), Cairn India (4.21 percent), Bank of Baroda (4.17 percent) and Siemens (4.10 percent) are among the major Sensex Gainers.

ITC (1.90 percent), Jaiprakash Associates (0.80 percent), ICICI Bank (0.28 percent), Hindalco Industries (0.09 percent) and Coal India (0.06 percent) are among the decliners.

The market breadth was negative on the NSE with 432 gainers against 1,013 losers.

European markets were down on profit booking. The CAC 40 was down 0.90 per cent and the DAX fell 1.13 per cent. The FTSE 100 was up 0.04 percent.Regards
RAKESH MAKIN
+91, 9041667797(DIRECT), 9915684997
OFF 0172-4657997
PANCHKULA (Haryana).
Email:makin_97@yahoo.com
Group mail id: makin97NSEtips@yahoogroups.co.in