Friday, May 18, 2012

MARKET ENDED 18.05.2012 THURSDAY



 WERE TODAY'S GAINERS 












     SENSEX            16152.75                +82.27
     NIFTY               4891.45                +21.25
     USD/INR            0054.86                +00.40
     NASDAQ            2815.26                +00.00
UPDATEDTIME 09.28 PM  18 MAY  2012

Sensex recovered from its lowest intraday level since Jan. 9 to gain on Friday after stronger-than-expected earnings from State Bank of India relieved concerns about non-performing assets and credit growth in the lending sector.

The earnings from India's biggest bank offset a day of continued global risk aversion that pummelled Asian shares, but were not enough to prevent the BSE index from posting its fourth consecutive weekly loss.

Analysts said the gains on Friday would prove temporary, and that concerns about global markets, as well as about India's economic and fiscal challenges would soon dominate trade.

Slowing policy reforms from the government have also been a key concern for investors, and have contributed to send the rupee to its third consecutive daily record low against the dollar on Friday.

Changes on policy front are required and I don't expect that to happen ... and therefore markets may go to December lows because of deteriorating macro conditions.

The 30-share BSE index gained 0.5 percent to 16,152.75 points, after earlier falling as much as 1.6 percent to four-month lows, and not far levels in December when Indian markets were also hit hard by global as well as domestic factors.

India's main index fell 0.86 percent for the week. The 50-share NSE index added 0.44 percent to end at 4891.45 points on Friday.

SBI rose 5 percent and was among the day's big gainers after it reported net profit surged to 40.50 billion rupees ($738 million) for the January-March quarter from a small profit a year earlier.

Analysts were particularly heartened after SBI set aside 28.4 billion rupees for bad loans in the March quarter, nearly 13 percent less than in the same period a year earlier.

SBI's gains pushed up other banks, with ICICI Bank , the country's biggest private lender, rose 2.3 percent.

Shares of airlines surged as the steep falls in crude oil prices helped offset worries that a dropping rupee would raise the cost of fuel imports.

Jet Airways rose 6.3 percent while Spicejet ended 8.7 percent higher. Mahindra Satyam gained 5.7 percent after reporting swinging to a better-than-expected profit of 5.34 billion rupees ($97.88 million) in Jan-March from a loss of 3.27 billion rupees in the same period last year.

But some blue chips extended a rout, with shares in Tata Motors down 4.15 percent, on continued worries about global sales after it reported flat growth in April, shedding 12.64 percent for the week.

India's auto shares are the biggest losers this week with the auto index down 5.6 percent, as a record low rupee is seen raising the cost of imports, royalty payments.

Maruti Suzuki fell 3.2 percent. Power equipment maker Bharat Heavy Electricals fell 2.6 percent, having hit on Friday its lowest since October 2008, while non-ferrous metals producer Hindalco Industries lost 0.8 percent, having earlier hit its lowest since September 2009.
Among sectoral indices, the BSE Bankex was up 1.27 percent, the BSE FMCG Index gained 0.77 percent, the BSE Oil & Gas Index was 0.64 percent higher and the BSE Power Index was up 0.15 percent.

State Bank of India (4.14 percent), NTPC (3.41 percent), Sterlite Industries (2.13 percent), ICICI Bank (1.61 percent) and GAIL (1.53 percent) are among the gainers.

The losers included Tata Motors (3.84 percent), Maruti Suzuki (3.66 percent), Bajaj Auto (2.35 percent), Tata Steel (2.22 percent) and BHEL (1.63 percent).

CLSA maintained a 'buy' recommendation on Tata Motors with a target price of Rs 370 per share even as the company's global sales of luxury brands Jaguar Land Rover fell 31 percent month-on-month. It doesn't see any evidence of a broad-based demand weakness, and expects the company to report a consolidated net profit of Rs 4,270 crore, up 70 percent YoY.

European markets continued to remain under pressure. The FTSE 100 was down 0.55 percent, the CAC 40 fell 0.95 percent and the DAX moved 0.68 percent lower.

Regards
RAKESH MAKIN
+91, 9041667797(DIRECT), 9915684997
OFF 0172-4657997
PANCHKULA (Haryana).
Email:makin_97@yahoo.com
Group mail id: makin97NSEtips@yahoogroups.co.in

Thursday, May 17, 2012

MARKET ENDED 17.05.2012 THURSDAY



 WERE  TODAY'S SENSEX GAINERS








     SENSEX            16070.48                 +40.39
     NIFTY               4870.20                 +11.95
     USD/INR            0054.27                 +00.54
     NASDAQ            2845.67                 -28.37
UPDATEDTIME 09.28 PM  16 MAY  2012

Markets edged up on Thursday as bargain hunting emerged after recent falls, while Reliance Industries gained after it was seen stepping up a buyback of shares, though sentiment remained hit by the weakening rupee.

The rupee fell to a new record low of 54.5650, against the dollar on Thursday, breaching its previous all-time low of 54.52 hit on Wednesday, while global risk aversion remained because of political trouble in Greece.

Traders were also on hold for Friday's earnings results from State Bank of India, Tata Steel and Coal India, which will help determine direction in the near-term.

Market direction still remains down, today's rise is more on short covering.

Positive news flow from the euro zone is a must for change in trend of rupee and thus markets.

The Sensex closed up 0.25 percent to 16,070.48, recovering after hitting on Wednesday its lowest close since January 12.

The broader 50-share NSE index rose 0.25 percent to 4,870.20 points.

Shares have tumbled in May, with the BSE dropping just over 7 percent so far in May, a much bigger fall than the fall of just below 3 percent for the MSCI Asia-Pacific index, excluding Japan.

Whether foreign investors will exit India remains a key concern. Provisional data shows net sales of Rs 1,010 crore ($184.81 million) in domestic shares over the previous two sessions, but they remain net buyers of Rs 856 crore for the month.

Bargain-hunting helped some blue chips on Thursday. Tata Motors rose 0.8 percent, recovering from an over 7 percent drop of Wednesday after posting flat global vehicle sales for April.

CLSA said it would maintain its "buy" rating on the stock, saying it expected earnings results due on May 29 to be "strong" and adding it expected the auto maker to benefit from rising sales and cost-cutting.

Reliance Industries rose 1.3 percent as traders say the company has stepped up the pace of its share buyback programme. The energy conglomerate has now purchased 14.3 million of its own shares since starting the procedure on Feb. 1, the traders said.

Reliance Industries shares had dropped 9.3 percent this month as of Wednesday's close as investors remain concerned about its earnings outlook and its gas reserves.

However, among decliners Larsen & Toubro shares dropped 3.51 percent after Nomura downgraded the stock to 'reduce' from 'buy', citing concern about orderbooks.

Bajaj Auto shares fell 2.42 percent down after some traders expressed disappointment with its earnings, though the motorcycle maker maintained its industry-leading profit margins.
Among sectoral indices, the BSE FMCG Index moved up 1.89 percent, the BSE Realty Index gained 1.24 percent and the BSE Metal Index advanced 0.71 percent. The BSE Capital Goods Index was down 0.92 percent, the BSE Healthcare Index declined 0.44 percent and the BSE IT Index slipped 0.41 percent.

ITC (2.92 percent), DLF (2.34 percent), Tata Motors (1.67 percent), HDFC (1.65 percent) and Reliance Industries (1.40 percent) are among the major Sensex gainers.

Cipla (3 percent), Larsen & Toubro (1.86 percent), M&M (1.58 percent), GAIL (1.08 percent) and Tata Consultancy Services (1.07 percent) are among the top losers.

Meanwhile, the partially convertible rupee was at 54.41, up 9 paise, against its previous close of 54.50.

Foreign institutional investors sold equities worth Rs 546.85 crore on Wednesday, as per provisional stock exchange data.

The market breadth was positive on the BSE with 1,392 gainers against 1,097 losers.

European markets slipped into the negative terrain on eurozone debt concerns. The FTSE 100 was down 0.41 percent, the CAC 40 slipped 0.26 percent, and the DAX moved 0.10 percent.

Regards
RAKESH MAKIN
+91, 9041667797(DIRECT), 9915684997
OFF 0172-4657997
PANCHKULA (Haryana).
Email:makin_97@yahoo.com
Group mail id: makin97NSEtips@yahoogroups.co.in

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

MARKET ENDED 16.05.2012 WEDNESDAY


WERE ONLY TODAY'S GAINERS 
















     SENSEX            16030.09               -298.16
     NIFTY               4858.25                 -84.55
     USD/INR            0054.27                +00.54
     NASDAQ            2894.61                +00.85
UPDATEDTIME 09.28 PM  16 MAY  2012

The Sensex joined the freefall of its global peers, shedding about 300 points to close the day near its important support level as there was no respite from the spate of bad news. While investors shied away on concerns of the Greek crisis, back home the rupee fell to a record closing of 54.49 to the greenback.

The BSE benchmark index closed at 16,030.09, down 298.16 points, or 1.83 percent. It touched an intraday high of 16,132.68 and a low of 15,974.60.

The Nifty ended at 4,858.25, down 84.55 points, or 1.71 percent. It touched an intraday high of 4,882.25 and a low of 4,837.05 in trade today.


The partially convertible rupee, which has been already under pressure due to domestic economic factors, fell to a record low against the dollar ending at 54.49, down 71 paise, against its previous close of 53.78. 

The fundamental view on rupee is that it is down because of the huge deficit and we are also not seeing too many inflows happening on the capital account. This is being reflected in the rupee's movement. However, it is very important to cut volatility because if this continues, it is going to hurt everybody," S.J. Balesh, Senior Director-Treasurey, IDFC, said. He is of the view that if the RBI doesn't intervene strongly, the rupee may touch the 55 lvel soon.

However, the RBI is running out of options to stem the rupee's slide. It sold about $20 billion in spot market between September 2011 and March 2012 to help the rupee recover, analysts say.

A major impact of it (intervention) is seen on the volume of forex reserves. FX reserves have fallen to $293.173 billion from $295.361 billion. The declining reserves limit the RBI's ability to intervene in the local market and the burden of import bill also reduces the impact of the intervention.

Meanwhile, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee told Parliament that the eurozone crisis was the reason for India's economic slowdown, adding that "India's growth story is intact".

Mukherjee also said he would take austerity measures to ensure more fiscal discipline and send the right signals to the market.

"The market is being driven completely by global cues and the rupee's reaction is leading to fear among investors. Unless the currency stabilizes, the market won't recover. We are getting into a period where valuations are becoming attractive but investors will have to bear near-term volatility.

The BSE Midcap Index was down 0.78 percent and the BSE Smallcap Index fell 1.11 percent.

Among sectoral indices, the BSE Metal Index was down 2.68 percent, the BSE Auto Index moved 2.59 percent lower, the BSE Capital Goods Index fell 1.69 percent and the BSE Bankex was 1.65 percent lower.

Tata Motors (7.34 percent), Tata Steel (3.89 percent), BHEL (3.74 percent), HDFC (3.71 percent) and Hindalco Industries (3.28 percent) were among the leading Sensex losers.

Tata Motors fell after the automaker reported flat global sales in April at 87,377 units over the same period last year. Sales of luxury brands from Jaguar Land Rover were at 25,143 units during April, up 29 percent from the same month last year.

HDFC was under pressure after MSCI reduced the company's weightage in the MSCI Index.

Sterlite Industries (0.87 percent) and Bajaj Auto (0.47 percent) were the only gainers.

The market breadth was negative on the BSE with 983 gainers against 1,733 losers.

The European markets were down as debt-hit Greece gets set for fresh elections. The FTSE 100 was down 0.67 percent and the DAX was 0.62 percent lower.

Regards
RAKESH MAKIN
+91, 9041667797(DIRECT), 9915684997
OFF 0172-4657997
PANCHKULA (Haryana).
Email:makin_97@yahoo.com
Group mail id: makin97NSEtips@yahoogroups.co.in

Tuesday, May 15, 2012

MARKET ENDED 15.05.2012 TUESDAY



 WERE TODAY'S GAINERS 
















     SENSEX            16328.25               +112.41
     NIFTY               4942.80                 +35.00
     USD/INR            0053.92                +00.29
     NASDAQ            2907.22                +04.64
UPDATEDTIME 09.28 PM  15 MAY  2012

The Nifty closed in the positive terrain led by gains in capital goods, metals, technology and pharmaceuticals sectors aided by European peers and a pullback in the rupee against the dollar.

The Nifty closed at 4,942.80, up 35 points, or 0.71 per cent. It touched an intraday high of 4,955.20 and a low of 4,868.55.

The Sensex ended at 16,328.25, up 112.41 points, or 0.69 per cent. It touched an intraday high of 16,370.12 and a low of 16,123.04.

The rupee recovered, after falling below the 54 per dollar level in the morning, on suspected RBI intervention. The partially convertible rupee was at 53.79, up 18 paise, against its previous close of 53.97.

Since the US dollar is gaining strength against major counterparts, we can see the rupee weakening further. We expect a 1-3 month range of 52-55 with an overall weakness bias for the rupee. The next target is seen at the 54.50 levels," an India Forex Advisors report said.

Global markets and the domestic economic situation have been putting pressure on the stock markets for the past two months. According to analysts, today's upmove was imminent after the sharp fall, but it may not last due to unfavourable factors.

These bouncebacks or these reversals are bound to happen when we are down 300-400 points in the Nifty. However, it is very difficult to predict to what extent and for how long it will continue. The bias seems to be negative. I do not see any immediate solution to the issues surrounding us currently. A collective damage is happening to the market and let us hope that we are able to overcome this fall. There is nothing currently available in the market which can meaningfully trigger any strong upside movement.

Nifty futures seek immediate resistance around the 4,980 levels, above which some short covering towards the 5,030-5,050 levels can be seen. On the downside, 4,900 would hold as an immediate support below which the 4,850 levels could be tested.

The BSE Midcap Index was up 0.63 per cent and the BSE Smallcap Index moved 0.33 per cent higher.

Among sectoral indices, the BSE Capital Goods Index rallied 3.07 per cent, the BSE Metal Index moved 2.21 per cent higher, the BSE IT Index gained 1.56 per cent and the BSE Healthcare Index advanced 0.97 per cent.
The BSE FMCG Index was down 0.64 per cent.

NTPC (3.02 per cent), Maruti Suzuki (2.89 per cent), IDFC (1.98 per cent), ITC (1.60 per cent) and ONGC (1.17 per cent) are among the top Nifty losers.

Sesa Goa (5.19 per cent), Larsen & Toubro (5.18 per cent), Cairn India (3.94 per cent), Sun Pharma (3.64 per cent) and Sterlite Industries (2.96 per cent) are among the gainers.

The L&T stock surged higher after the company guided for a 15-20% growth in both revenues and order inflows for FY13.

Bharti Airtel ended in the red on news that the Enforcement Directorate is probing a money laundering case against the company.

The market breadth was positive on the NSE with 790 gainers against 663 losers.

Regards
RAKESH MAKIN
+91, 9041667797(DIRECT), 9915684997
OFF 0172-4657997
PANCHKULA (Haryana).
Email:makin_97@yahoo.com
Group mail id: makin97NSEtips@yahoogroups.co.in

Monday, May 14, 2012

MARKET ENDED 14.05.2012 MONDAY



 WERE TODAY'S GAINERS 


     SENSEX            16215.84               -77.14
     NIFTY               4907.80                -21.10
     USD/INR            0053.92                +00.29
     NASDAQ            2917.54                -16.28
UPDATEDTIME 09.28 PM  14 MAY  2012

The Nifty ended in the negative terrain for the fifth straight session, closing near the psychological level of 4,900 as a higher than expected inflation and worries over the eurozone debt crisis weighed on sentiment.

Rate sensitives came under pressure after the April WPI inflation soared to 7.23 per cent against 6.89 per cent in March. Core inflation inched up to 5 per cent from 4.7 per cent in the previous month. There are concerns that the Reserve Bank of India may find it difficult to cut interest rates.

Headline inflation edged up to cross the 7 per cent mark in April, with a broad-based upturn in primary articles, manufactured products and the fuel index. However, one silver lining was that core inflation remained relatively benign at 4.8 per cent (not far away from the RBI's comfort zone of 4 per cent).

A high base effect should result in WPI remaining benign in the 7 per cent range in the near term although we could see an upward bias in the latter half of the year due to exchange rate pressures and the base effect.

"On rates, our base case remains that of 25bps of further easing. While the growth slowdown, coupled with the recent downtrend in oil prices could influence rate decisions; this inflation print - and how the RBI distinguishes between headline and core - could make the outlook for rate cuts beyond 25bps more challenging.

The Sensex ended at 16,215.84, down 77.14 points, or 0.47 per cent. It touched an intraday high of 16,390.33 and a low of 16,124.82 today.

The Nifty closed at 4,907.80, down 21.10 points, or 0.43 per cent. It touched an intraday high of 4,957.20 and a low of 4,874.50 today.


According to analysts, Indian markets will continue to remain under pressure unless the government starts acting on policy reforms.

India's policy structure is unhelpful for medium- to long-term growth, and that is discouraging investors from going into the market. It has an issue with high inflation which is partly a function of the inability to get infrastructure projects approved in these bottlenecks holding back growth. It also runs a large current account deficit. So it is extremely sensitive to where the oil price is.

The BSE Midcap Index fell 1 per cent and the BSE Smallcap Index declined 1.26 per cent.

Among sectoral indices, the BSE Oil & Gas Index was down 1.69 per cent, the Bankex fell 1.61 per cent, the BSE Realty Index declined 1.27 per cent and the BSE Power Index slipped 0.79 per cent. The BSE Healthcare Index was up 0.78 per cent and the BSE IT Index edged up 0.41 per cent.

Profit booking was also seen in banks after Moody's downgraded ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank and Axis Bank.

Cairn India (4.82%), Bank of Baroda (4.59%), SAIL (3.42%), Reliance Infrastructure (3.20%), Punjab National Bank (3.07%), Jaiprakash Associates (2.86%) and Reliance Industries (2.32) were among the top Nifty losers.

According to dealers, cash-based selling was seen in RIL after it reduced its estimates for proven gas reserves from the KG-D6 block by 6.7 per cent to 3.67 trillion cubic feet. The case between the government and the company is not headed anywhere. They see no major trigger in the company for the next 1-2 years.

Asian Paints (3.06%), Ranbaxy Laboratories (2.29%), Sesa Goa (1.87%), BPCL (1.87%) and Bajaj Auto (1.80%) led the gainers' pack.

L&T reported a standalone net profit of Rs 1,920.41 crore for the quarter ended March 2012 compared to Rs 1,686.21 crore in the same period a year ago. Net sales were at Rs 18,460.90 crore for the quarter from Rs 15,261.17 crore in the same period a year ago.

According to Dhananjay Sinha, Co- Head Institutional Research, Emkay Global Financial Services, L&T's fourth quarter results were above expectations while order inflows were below expectations.

"The order inflows, down 31 per cent YoY to Rs 212 billion, disappointed and is below our as well as L&T guidance.

The company gave guidance of order inflows of Rs 82,000-84,000 crore for FY13. It expects the revenue growth momentum to sustain and EBITDA margins to be +/- 50 bps. We believe that, guidance was in line with expectations and there won't be any earnings changes.

Meanwhile, the rupee ended at 53.97 per dollar, down 34 paise, against the previous close of 53.63.

Foreign institutional investors bought equities worth Rs 158.57 crore on Friday, as per provisional stock exchange data.

The market breadth was negative on the NSE with 455 gainers against 1,015 losers.

European markets were under pressure over political uncertainty in Greece. The FTSE 100 was down 1.81 per cent, CAC 40 fell 2.27 per cent and the DAX moved 2.32 per cent lower.
Regards
RAKESH MAKIN
+91, 9041667797(DIRECT), 9915684997
OFF 0172-4657997
PANCHKULA (Haryana).
Email:makin_97@yahoo.com
Group mail id: makin97NSEtips@yahoogroups.co.in